The F-47 and FA-XX: Decoding the U.S. Push for Future Air Dominance

America’s Next Stealth Fighter: Inside the Sixth-Generation Revolution

Picture this: You’re scrolling through your feed, and suddenly there’s buzz about a new fighter jet that sounds like something out of a sci-fi thriller—stealthier than ever, commanding drone swarms, and built to outthink the enemy before the fight even starts. That’s the world of sixth-generation fighters, and if you’re like me, it can feel overwhelming trying to keep up. I mean, we’ve got the F-22 dominating the skies today, but already there’s talk of replacements? It raises all sorts of questions: Do we really need these beasts? What’s taking so long to build them? And in a world where tech evolves faster than you can update your phone, won’t they be outdated by the time they roll out?

I recently sat down—virtually, of course—with Alex Hollings, the go-to expert on all things air power. As editor-in-chief at Sandbox News, Alex breaks down complex aviation topics in a way that doesn’t make your head spin. He’s the guy I turn to when headlines about the F-47 or FA-XX pop up, and our chat was eye-opening. We dove into the U.S. sixth-generation fighter programs, unpacking everything from their origins to the geopolitical drama swirling around them. What emerged was a story not just about planes, but about strategy, budgets, and the relentless push to stay ahead in an increasingly crowded and dangerous airspace.

In this piece, I’ll weave in our conversation while adding some historical context, real-world implications, and a dash of my own thoughts. Because let’s face it—these aren’t just toys for the military; they’re the frontline in deterring threats from powers like China and Russia. By the end, you’ll have a clearer picture of why this matters, and maybe even share my mix of excitement and concern about where air power is headed.

Defining the Sixth Generation: More Than Just a Label

First off, what even counts as a sixth-generation fighter? Alex was quick to point out that there’s no universal checklist—it’s more marketing hype than strict science. Fighter generations started as a way to sell the F-22 back in the 1990s, highlighting how it leaped ahead of fourth-gen birds like the F-15 or F-16. Fast-forward, and now even bombers like the B-21 Raider get slapped with the “sixth-gen” tag by folks at Northrop Grumman, even though generations were originally about fighters.

But if we boil it down, sixth-gen means pushing stealth to new extremes. Think “all-aspect” low observability, making these jets ghosts not just to high-frequency targeting radars but also to low-band early-warning systems that sometimes spot fifth-gen planes like the F-35. That could involve ditching vertical tail fins or reshaping engine inlets to scatter radar waves even better. Historically, stealth tech kicked off with the F-117 Nighthawk in the 1980s, evolving through the F-22 and F-35. Now, it’s about staying invisible while closing in for the kill.

The real game-changer, though? These aren’t lone wolves anymore. Sixth-gen fighters are designed as hubs in a “family of systems.” Imagine a piloted jet leading a pack of AI-driven drone wingmen—loyal companions that scout ahead, jam enemy signals, or even take hits to protect the human pilot. Alex described it as turning one fighter into a self-contained formation, all linked in a mesh network. Lose a drone? No problem—the system adapts, rerouting data and completing “kill chains” seamlessly.

This shift reflects broader trends in warfare. Back in the Cold War, fighters were built for dogfights or bombing runs. Today, with hypersonic missiles and advanced air defenses proliferating, it’s about integration. Drones like the Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA) program are key, acting as expendable assets that extend range and reduce risk to pilots. Geopolitically, this counters threats from nations investing heavily in anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) bubbles—think China’s island chains in the South China Sea, bristling with missiles that could keep U.S. carriers at bay.

The Roots of America’s Sixth-Gen Push: From Studies to Secret X-Planes

The U.S. didn’t wake up one day and decide to build these marvels. As Alex explained, seeds were planted around 2010, but things ramped up in 2014 with a classified study commissioned by then-Under Secretary of Defense Frank Kendall. Dubbed the Air Dominance Initiative, it explored future air-to-air battles, led by the RAND Corporation. By 2015, that fed into a DARPA-funded X-plane program—still shrouded in secrecy—jointly backed by the Air Force and Navy.

We know prototypes were flying by 2019, smashing records by 2020 (maybe in altitude, climb rate, or supercruise—sustained supersonic flight without afterburners). Supercruise, Alex noted, isn’t just about speed; it’s fuel efficiency, letting jets arrive with gas to spare for combat. The F-22 is the only U.S. fighter that supercruises above Mach 1.6, a benchmark these new birds aim to beat.

From there, the branches split: The Air Force’s Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD), now the Boeing F-47, targets replacing the F-22 by the early 2030s. The Navy’s FA-XX seeks to succeed the F/A-18 Super Hornet around the mid-2030s. They’re similar but tailored—modular engines like adaptive cycle tech (think VTEC for jets) could be shared, boosting power while sipping fuel.

Why separate? Alex nailed it: Compromises killed efficiency in the F-35 program, where one design juggled Air Force runways, Navy carriers, and Marine vertical landings. The F-35C’s wider wings for carrier ops cap it at 7.5 Gs versus the A-model’s 9+. Carrier birds need reinforced frames for brutal landings, but that adds weight and hurts agility. Historically, joint programs like the F-111 flopped for similar reasons—too many roles, too many trade-offs.

In 2025 updates, the F-47 is charging ahead with $3.5 billion in FY26 funding, while FA-XX got slashed 84% to $74 million—barely enough to keep teams employed. The White House warns boosting Navy funds could delay the Air Force’s priority, sparking bipartisan pushback. It’s a budget crunch echoing Cold War overhauls, with nukes like the Sentinel ICBM ballooning costs.

Air Force vs. Navy: Tailored Needs in a Shared Fight

Diving deeper, the branches’ needs diverge sharply. The Air Force wants an air-superiority beast—fast, long-range, maneuverable—to dominate skies like the F-22 did in the 2000s. With only 150 combat-ready Raptors (from a planned 750, cut post-Soviet collapse and post-9/11 shifts), replacements are urgent. They’re aging out by the 2030s, and production lines are long gone.

The Navy? It’s about multirole versatility from carriers. The Super Hornet excels at air-to-ground but lacks range—550-770 miles combat radius—leaving carriers vulnerable to China’s anti-ship missiles (some reaching 1,200 miles). Recent wargames by CSIS and the Pentagon simulate U.S. wins against China but at staggering costs: two carriers sunk in days via saturation attacks overwhelming Aegis defenses.

Alex highlighted the carrier conundrum: Sail too close, risk $13 billion ships and 5,000 lives. FA-XX needs extended range to strike from safer distances, but with funding gutted, it’s on ice. This assumes no China conflict soon—risky, as it might invite aggression before 2040. Deterrence suffers if adversaries sense a window.

Geopolitically, this ties into the Pacific pivot. China’s J-20 fleet already outnumbers F-22s, with J-35 (fifth-gen) fielding and sixth-gen like J-36 (tailless, bomber-style cockpit) and J-50 (or J-XDS) advancing. Russia’s Su-57 lags, but the Su-75 Checkmate (fifth-gen export) adds competition. Allies like the UK’s Tempest and Japan’s F-X are in play, but foes are closing gaps fast.

The Replacement Imperative: Necessity or Innovation Chase?

Do we need these now? Alex’s take: Both. The F-22’s short production run leaves us vulnerable—no spares for crashes or combat losses. Super Hornets retire in the late 2030s. But it’s also about staying ahead amid an “explosion” of stealth tech worldwide—eight sixth-gen programs globally, plus five more fifth-gen efforts beyond the F-22, F-35, J-20, and Su-57.

My reflection: It’s a double-edged sword. Asymmetric edges erode as China deploys hypersonics and A2/AD. Yet, kicking the can on Cold War relics—like aging Minuteman ICBMs or Ohio subs—creates budget black holes. The Sentinel’s overruns paused F-47 for a year. With U.S. defense spending massive but stretched, priorities clash.

Tech Timelines and Obsolescence: A Perpetual Headache

Here’s where it gets frustrating: Development drags. Alex agreed—if it takes five years, tech’s obsolete on delivery. Spy satellites need a decade; fighters similar. You can’t use bleeding-edge unproven stuff—it must endure 6,000-8,000 hours, with supply chains ready.

The F-35’s “supercomputer”? Just 500MB RAM until recent upgrades—less than your smartphone. But modularity is the fix: Easier swaps for hardware/software. F-35 pioneered this; sixth-gen builds on it. Bureaucracy slows things—F-35’s multinational partners mean endless approvals, and Lockheed owns the code, hiking costs.

New programs shift: Branches own IP, slashing red tape. Capacity? America’s “secret weapon” is cash—dumping billions where others can’t. Stealth isn’t design magic; it’s pricey tolerances and training.

Real-World Tests: Stealth in Action Against Iran

Recent ops validate stealth. Israel’s F-35s penetrated Iran multiple times in 2025, dodging piecemeal defenses (S-300s degraded earlier). Then, U.S. Operation Midnight Hammer in June: Over 125 aircraft, including F-22s for superiority, F-35s for SEAD, and B-2s striking nuclear sites. Seven B-2s flew from Missouri, using bunker-busters in a 36-hour blitz.

Alex’s yes-and-no: Proves stealth beats outdated systems, debunking “drones-only” hype. But against top-tier like China’s HQ-9 or Russia’s S-500? No guarantees. Stealth’s proximity-based—mission planning, angles, EW matter. It’s like Harry Potter’s cloak: Sneaky, but not bulletproof.

The F-117 downing in 1999 over Yugoslavia? Bad planning, old missile. Stealth boosts survivability, like tank armor—not invincibility.

Wrapping Up: The Skies Ahead and Lingering Worries

Chatting with Alex left me optimistic yet cautious. Sixth-gen fighters like the F-47 represent evolution—networked, adaptive, lethal. But delays, budgets, and global races raise stakes. China’s advances could flip air superiority; assuming peace till 2040 might backfire.

What if we prioritize wrong? Or tech leaps leave us scrambling? Still, America’s innovation edge endures. As threats mount—from Iran’s nukes to Pacific tensions—these programs aren’t luxuries; they’re necessities. Keep an eye on Sandbox News for updates—Alex is the real deal. In this high-stakes game, staying ahead isn’t optional; it’s survival.

Copied!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

About John Digweed

Life-long learner.